據(jù)美國鉆井網(wǎng)站2022年10月14日報道，美國能源信息署(EIA)在其最新一期的短期能源展望(STEO)報告中下調了今年和明年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格預測。 

在10月份的STEO報告中，EIA預計今年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨的平均價格將達到每桶102.09美元，2023年將達到每桶94.58美元。EIA在最新STEO報告中預測，今年第四季度布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格將達到每桶92.98美元，2023年第一季度將達到每桶93.30美元，2023年第二季度將達到每桶93.35美元，2023年第三季度將達到每桶95美元，2023年第四季度將達到每桶96.65美元。  

在之前發(fā)布的9月份STEO報告中，EIA預測今年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨均價將達到每桶104.21美元，2023年達到每桶96.91美元。在9月份的STEO報告中，EIA預計今年第四季度布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格將達到每桶97.98美元，2023年第一季度將達到每桶98.67美元，2023年第二季度將達到每桶97.65美元，2023年第三季度將達到96.32美元，2023年第四季度將達到每桶95美元。 

9月份布倫特原油即月期貨價格平均每桶比8月份低7美元。9月份標志著布倫特原油期貨價格連續(xù)第3個月下跌，使這3個月的總跌幅達到每桶27美元。

布倫特原油價格從6月的每桶123多美元跌至9月底的每桶84多美元，隨后在10月7日回升至每桶近98美元，然后再次跌至每桶90美元的低點。到目前為止，布倫特原油2022年的峰值出現(xiàn)在3月8日，為每桶127.98美元，2022年的低點出現(xiàn)在1月3日，為每桶78.98美元。 

在撰寫本文時，布倫特原油的交易價格為每桶93.90美元。 

李峻 編譯自 美國鉆井網(wǎng)站網(wǎng)

原文如下：

EIA Drops Oil Price Forecasts for 2022 and 2023|

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) lowered its Brent spot average price forecast for 2022 and 2023 in its latest short term energy outlook (STEO) report.

In its October STEO, the EIA projects that the average Brent spot price will be $102.09 per barrel this year and $94.58 per barrel in 2023. Broken down quarterly, the latest EIA STEO forecasts that the Brent spot average will hit $92.98 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2022, $93.30 per barrel in the first quarter of 2023, $93.35 per barrel in 2Q 2023, $95 per barrel in 3Q 2023, and $96.65 per barrel in 4Q 2023.

In its previous September STEO, the EIA projected that the Brent spot average price would hit $104.21 per barrel in 2022 and $96.91 per barrel in 2023. In that STEO, the EIA expected the Brent spot average to come in at $97.98 per barrel in 4Q 2022, $98.67 per barrel in 1Q 2023, $97.65 per barrel in 2Q 2023, $96.32 per barrel in 3Q 2023, and $95 per barrel in 4Q 2023.

The price of Brent crude oil dropped from over $123 per barrel in June to just over $84 per barrel around the end of September, before rising back up to almost $98 per barrel on October 7 then dropping again to the low $90s. Brent’s 2022 peak, so far, was seen on March 8, at 127.98 per barrel, and its 2022 low, so far, was seen on January 3, at $78.98 per barrel.

At the time of writing, Brent is trading at $93.90 per barrel.