據(jù)美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站2022年8月23日?qǐng)?bào)道，去年歐佩克成員國(guó)的凈石油出口收入達(dá)到5700億美元。

這是美國(guó)能源信息署（EIA）根據(jù)歐佩克的一份新情況說(shuō)明書(shū)作出上述估計(jì)的，EIA指出，歐佩克去年的凈石油出口收入比2020年增加78%，而2020年這一數(shù)字據(jù)稱(chēng)總計(jì)約為3200億美元。 

EIA在新情況說(shuō)明書(shū)中稱(chēng)：“去年歐佩克成員國(guó)凈石油出口收入的增加可以歸因于歐佩克產(chǎn)量增加和原油價(jià)格上漲?！?/p>

EIA在新情況說(shuō)明書(shū)中補(bǔ)充道：“去年，由于歐佩克+產(chǎn)量目標(biāo)的提高，歐佩克增加了原油產(chǎn)量；所有歐佩克成員國(guó)去年的原油日總產(chǎn)量從2020年的3070萬(wàn)桶增加到3170萬(wàn)桶。由于全球原油消費(fèi)量超過(guò)原油產(chǎn)量，原油價(jià)格也出現(xiàn)上漲，導(dǎo)致全球原油庫(kù)存持續(xù)減少?！?/p>

EIA繼續(xù)表示：“去年全球原油消費(fèi)量增加是由于經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)增加，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)始恢復(fù)到疫情暴發(fā)之前的狀況?！?/p>

在新情況說(shuō)明書(shū)中，EIA估計(jì)，去年沙特阿拉伯的凈石油出口收入為1840億美元，是歐佩克所有成員國(guó)中最高的。伊拉克排名第二，為830億美元，阿聯(lián)酋排名第三，為750億美元。 

展望2022年，EIA預(yù)測(cè)歐佩克凈石油出口收入將增加到9070億美元。 EIA在說(shuō)明書(shū)中指出，這一增長(zhǎng)歸因于歐佩克原油和其他液體產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)量的增加以及原油價(jià)格的上漲，EIA預(yù)計(jì)今年沙特阿拉伯凈石油出口收入最高，為3040億美元。伊拉克將以1310億美元再次名列第二，而阿聯(lián)酋將以1250億美元再次名列第三。  

在2023年，EIA預(yù)計(jì)歐佩克的凈石油出口收入將減少到8350億美元。 

新情況說(shuō)明書(shū)稱(chēng)：“我們預(yù)測(cè)，明年全球原油價(jià)格將下降，這反映出全球石油庫(kù)存在今年第二季度開(kāi)始增加，并將在2023年的大部分時(shí)間內(nèi)繼續(xù)增加?！?/p>

據(jù)預(yù)測(cè)，2023年沙特阿拉伯的凈石油凈出口收入將達(dá)到2660億美元，位居世界第一，其次是伊拉克和阿聯(lián)酋，分別為1200億美元。 

在最近一次會(huì)議上，歐佩克+決定將9月份的原油日產(chǎn)量提高10萬(wàn)桶。在6月30日舉行的上次會(huì)議上，歐佩克+再次確認(rèn)一項(xiàng)決定，即在8月份將其原油日產(chǎn)量上調(diào)64.8萬(wàn)桶。歐佩克+的下一次會(huì)議目前定在9月5日舉行。  

李峻 編譯自 美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站

原文如下：

What Is OPEC's Net Oil Export Revenue?

OPEC members earned about $570 billion in net oil export revenue last year.

That’s what the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates, according to a new fact sheet by the organization, which noted that OPEC’s 2021 net revenue is a 78 percent increase from 2020, when this figure is said to have totaled an estimated $320 billion.

“The increase in net export revenue in 2021 can be attributed to a combination of increased OPEC production and higher crude oil prices during the year,” the EIA stated in the fact sheet.

“In 2021, OPEC increased production as OPEC+ production targets rose; total liquids production among all OPEC producers rose to 31.7 million barrels per day in 2021 from 30.7 million bpd in 2020. Crude oil prices also rose as global oil consumption outpaced oil production, resulting in persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories,” the EIA added in the fact sheet.

“The increase in oil consumption in 2021 occurred as economic activity increased and the global economy began to return to pre-Covid-19 conditions,” the EIA continued.

In the fact sheet, the EIA estimated that Saudi Arabia’s net export revenue was the highest among OPEC members in 2021 at $184 billion. Iraq was listed as having the second highest, at $83 billion, and the UAE was listed as having the third highest, at $75 billion.

Looking ahead to 2022, the EIA fact sheet forecasts that OPEC net oil export revenue will increase to $907 billion. This increase is attributable to an increase in crude oil and other liquids production by OPEC along with an increase in crude oil prices, the EIA noted in the fact sheet, which lists Saudi Arabia’s projected revenue in 2022 as the highest, at $304 billion. Iraq is again listed second, with $131 billion, and the UAE is again third, with $125 billion.

In 2023, the EIA fact sheet expects that OPEC net export revenue will decrease to $835 billion.

“We forecast that global crude oil prices will decrease in 2023, reflecting global oil inventories that began to build in the second quarter of 2022 and that will continue to build through much of 2023,” the fact sheet states.

Saudi Arabia is projected to have the highest net oil export revenue in 2023 at $266 billion, followed by Iraq and the UAE in joint second, with $120 billion each.

At its latest meeting, which was held, OPEC+ decided to adjust its production level up by 100,000 barrels per day for the month of September. At OPEC+’s previous meeting, which was held on June 30, the group reconfirmed a decision to adjust its production level up by 648,000 barrels per day in August. OPEC+’s next meeting is currently scheduled to take place on September 5.