據(jù)今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)站2月16日消息 本周席卷歐洲西北部的強(qiáng)風(fēng)發(fā)電和風(fēng)暴將緩解主要市場(chǎng)的電價(jià)，而天然氣價(jià)格繼續(xù)下跌，有跡象表明俄羅斯和烏克蘭的對(duì)峙可能不會(huì)導(dǎo)致武裝沖突。 

彭博社的模型顯示，盡管風(fēng)暴可能影響電力輸送，但強(qiáng)風(fēng)預(yù)計(jì)將在本周推動(dòng)風(fēng)力發(fā)電達(dá)到創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄水平。 

低風(fēng)速和風(fēng)電場(chǎng)的低功率發(fā)電是歐洲電力價(jià)格在2021年秋季和初冬急速上升的原因之一，其次是天然氣儲(chǔ)存水平低以及來(lái)自俄羅斯的管道輸送天然氣。 

現(xiàn)在風(fēng)暴正在接近歐洲西北部，狂風(fēng)將英國(guó)和德國(guó)這兩個(gè)最大的可再生能源電力市場(chǎng)的風(fēng)力發(fā)電量推向歷史新高。 

英國(guó)氣象局周二表示，達(dá)德利和尤尼斯這兩個(gè)深低壓系統(tǒng)的風(fēng)暴本周將給英國(guó)帶來(lái)強(qiáng)風(fēng)和潛在的降雪。這兩場(chǎng)風(fēng)暴都可能造成一些破壞，國(guó)家已經(jīng)發(fā)布了惡劣天氣警告。英國(guó)氣象局表示，從周三下午到周四凌晨，達(dá)德利風(fēng)暴將影響英國(guó)北部地區(qū)，而尤尼斯風(fēng)暴將在周五為英國(guó)部分地區(qū)帶來(lái)強(qiáng)風(fēng)和可能的降雪。 

德國(guó)天氣預(yù)報(bào)DWD也發(fā)布了官方警告，預(yù)計(jì)風(fēng)速將“類似颶風(fēng)”。法國(guó)也對(duì)強(qiáng)風(fēng)速保持警惕。

預(yù)計(jì)強(qiáng)勁的風(fēng)力發(fā)電將緩解歐洲的電力短缺。由于預(yù)計(jì)本周晚些時(shí)候風(fēng)力發(fā)電量將創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄，歐洲批發(fā)電價(jià)周三暴跌。 

歐洲的基準(zhǔn)天然氣價(jià)格在周三早些時(shí)候繼續(xù)下跌，周二開(kāi)始暴跌，有跡象表明俄羅斯-烏克蘭危機(jī)可能已經(jīng)開(kāi)始緩和。 

王磊 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)

原文如下：

Strong Winds Help Ease Europe’s Energy Crisis

Strong wind power generation with storms sweeping through northwest Europe this week are set to ease the power prices in major markets, while natural gas prices continue to tumble amid signs that the Russia-Ukraine standoff might not lead to an armed conflict.

Although storms could down power lines, the strong winds are expected to drive wind power generation to records this week, Bloomberg models show.

Low wind speeds and low power generation from wind farms were some of the reasons why Europe’s power prices shot up in the autumn and early winter of 2021, alongside low natural gas storage levels and subdued pipeline gas deliveries from Russia. 

Now storms are nearing northwest Europe, with wind gusts set to push wind power generation in the biggest renewable electricity markets, the UK and Germany, to records.

Storms Dudley and Eunice, two deep low-pressure systems, will bring very strong winds and potentially snow to the UK this week, the UK’s Met Office warned on Tuesday. Both storms are likely to cause some disruption, and National Severe Weather Warnings have been issued. Storm Dudley will impact the northern half of the UK from Wednesday afternoon through to early Thursday, while Storm Eunice will bring strong winds and potentially some snow for parts of the country on Friday, the Met Office said.  

The weather forecaster of Germany, DWD, also issued official warnings, expecting “hurricane like” wind speeds. France is also on alert for strong wind speeds.  

The expected strong wind power generation is set to ease the power crunch in Europe, where wholesale power prices plunged on Wednesday on expectations of record wind power generation later in the week.

Europe’s benchmark natural gas prices continued to fall early on Wednesday, following the slump from Tuesday, on the back of signals that the Russia-Ukraine crisis may have started to de-escalate.